I wonder if I should take bets

So the new flash and battery grip I ordered are both sitting in Mesquite tonight. For those of you unaware of Dallas metroplex geography, the center of Mesquite is roughly 35 miles from the center of the little burb I call home. I could drive over there in about 45 minutes.
Now, the last time I was expecting something of this magnitude–the camera for which these two items have been purchased–the item in question also spent a night in Mesquite. Then proceeded 121 miles south to Waco before then returning 121 miles to be delivered to me.
This couldn’t possibly happen again, could it?
Well, according to the Amazon status tracker, estimated delivery date is the 8th.
The 8th.